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Sitarganj Bye-Election Analysis

As expected, Vijay Bahuguna easily won the state assembly bye-election from Sitarganj in a landslide, entering the Vidhan Sabha with the largest margin since Uttarakhand’s formation. As Sitarganj was originally occupied by BJP legislator Kiran Mandal whom the Congress had successfully lurred away on promises…

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Exit Polls and Post Poll Surveys

Here is the aggregated exit poll and post-poll surveys from the major media networks (Thanks to Raju Gusain for putting most of this together). INC BJP BSP Others Janpaksh/CMRA 27-34 21-25 3-6 4-11 IBN/CSDS/The Week 31-41 22-32 – 4-10 Headlines Today 38-42 26-30 2-4 4-6…

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The Rub of Delimitation

Over the past few years, the 2006 delimitation exercise that redrew the electoral map of Uttarakhand for the 2012 state elections has provoked major controversy. Tracking the shifting population of the state, the hills districts (Almora, Bageshwar, Chamoli, Champawat, Garhwal, Pithoragarh, Rudraprayag, Tehri Garhwal, Uttarkashi)…

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Results of RTI Lok Seva Survey

The results of the wide-ranging RTI-Lok Seva survey that gathered the population’s impressions of each of Uttarakhand’s past chief ministers, have been released ahead of the 11 anniversary of statehood. Over 300,000 residents in all 13 districts were surveyed in partnership with 31 participating NGOs…

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State plains most populous, hills least

Tribune News service Dehradun, April 1 The provisional census report suggests that the three plain districts, comprising Udham Singh Nagar (33.40 per cent), Haridwar (33.16 per cent), Dehradun (32.4 per cent) and hill district of Nainital (25.20 per cent), have witnessed a maximum increase in…

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National Election Study 2009

Results from the National Election Study for the 2009 parliamentary elections have been aggregated and analyzed by Dr. Annpurna Nautiyal of Garhwal University. Charts of some of the salients points have been drafted and are shown below: Popularity The previous Tiwari government was marginally more…

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Janpaksh AajKal Survey: Uttarakhand Fail?

In conjunction with the 7th anniversary of Uttarakhand Statehood, Janpaksh-Aajkal magazine published a survey that loudly proclaimed that Uttarakhand had failed and become a playground for politicians and bureaucrats (Janpaksh-Aajkal, November 15, 2007). While definitely attention grabbing, the survey of 1500 respondents from throughout the…

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Garhwal Post-Umeed Uttarakhand Survey: Still Undecided

February 7, 2007 News of Congress’ demise is greatly exaggerated, given the most extensive poll survey yet taken ahead of the elections. A Garhwal Post-Umeed survey of 18,000 in all 70 constituencies in Uttarakhand found the BJP polling a mere percentage point ahead of the…

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RLEK Citizen’s Survey

Below are the results of RLEK Citizens’ Survey of 10,015 people in all 13 Districts, November 2004:

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2002 Post-Poll Survey

A post poll survey in Uttaranchal was conducted after the 2002 State Assembly Elections in 42 polling stations of 14 assembly constituencies. The sample of assembly constituencies was drawn randomly using the probability proportionate to size (PPS) method and three polling booths in each of…

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